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Good wintry Saturday bloggers! I wanted to update everyone on our developing storm that will bring the first accumulating snow of the season to some tonight and Sunday. I first want to mention that the NWS has issued Winter Weather Advisories for the following counties in our viewing area: Harrison, Grundy, Daviess, Mercer, Livingston, Carroll, and Saline.
Below, the infrared satellite shows the setup of our low pressure area and the developing comma head on the back edge. The 'L' on the map represents the position of the ULL. It is the back edge of the storm that will likely bring a majority of the accumulating snow to the area this evening and tonight.
Here are my thoughts on snow accumulations. Overall a slushy dusting to 2" still looks good. In the metro I just showed on air a half inch to one inch in the city. Areas northeast of Kansas City will see higher totals of around 1-1.5" in Richmond to around 2" in Trenton. In general the Winter Weather Advisory areas could see 1-3" with the 3" amounts in isolated areas. West of the stateline around Lawrence, Emporia, Hiawatha totals will be much less with a trace to half inch possible. The snow will first stick on grassy surfaces, roof tops, and wind shields. And then as temperatures drop some could stick on the roads. Best chance of seeing some slippery areas will be on the Missouri side of the stateline. This is a tough forecast since the storm developed right on top of us and is strengthening right now.
I would put the odds of the snowflake contest ending tonight at 50% or less. Gary and I will be doing the measuring from this evening thru tonight. If the contest continues past Sunday the next best chance for it to end will be on Wednesday. That is also the day that Gary & Jeff picked for the first 1" of snow to occur. I picked December 2...a little early(or late depending on tonight).
Still adding thoughts....
Jeremy
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